What is the Chance of Rain: Local vs Federal Forecasts

Date of Exam: 

Problem
The local weather forecaster says “no rain” and his record is 2/3 accuracy of prediction. But the Federal Meteorological Service predicts rain and their record is 3/4. With no other data available, what is the chance of rain?

A.   3/5 C.   1/6
B.   1/4 D.   5/12

 

Answer Key

 

Solution